Daily Strategic Briefing

Saturday, July 12, 2025

"Today's market shows mixed signals, with both the S&P 500 and NASDAQ experiencing slight declines. FinTech continues to attract investment, particularly in India, with significant funding rounds for Credit Wise Capital and Arteria, focusing on lending and supply chain SaaS. The financial sector also faces challenges; a bank strike in Gujarat halted significant transactions. Developments in the tech sector highlight shifts in the AI landscape, with OpenAI delaying its open model release, and key talent from a planned acquisition moving to Google DeepMind. Concerns are emerging regarding the impact of AI coding tools on developer productivity. Geopolitical risks are also in play, as seen in the oil market's reaction to potential sanctions. Finally, tragic incidents, such as the Air India crash and the death of a farmworker during an ICE raid, underscore the importance of safety and ethical considerations."

  • Monitor the impact of AI tool developments on internal R&D productivity and developer workflows. Assess the potential impact on software development timelines and resource allocation.
  • Evaluate the strategic implications of the talent shift from OpenAI to Google DeepMind. Determine if this affects our competitive landscape or strategic partnerships.
  • Analyze the funding trends in FinTech, particularly in India, to understand the opportunities in the lending and supply chain SaaS sectors. Consider potential partnerships or investment opportunities.
  • Assess the potential impact of the economic and geopolitical instability, as signaled by the movements in the oil and currency markets, on our investment portfolio and global supply chains.
  • Review and strengthen our safety and risk management protocols in response to the reported incidents, ensuring the well-being of our employees and stakeholders.

Market Dashboard

S&P 500

6,259.75 (-0.33%)

NASDAQ

20,585.53 (-0.22%)

BSE Sensex

82,500.47 (-0.83%)

NSE Nifty 50

25,149.85 (-0.81%)

VIX

16.40 (+3.93%)

Crude Oil

68.45 (+2.82%)

Gold

3,356.00 (+1.16%)

Key Development

California farmworker dies from injuries sustained during Ventura ICE raid

Summary: Jaime Alanís Garcia fell from a greenhouse roof during a federal immigration operation at Glass House Farms in Ventura County., Description: A farmworker identified as Jaime Alanís Garcia died after falling 30 feet from a building during a federal immigration raid at Glass House Farms in Ventura County, California, with conflicting accounts about whether he was being actively pursued by agents when the fatal accident occurred.

OpenAI Windsurf acquisition falls through as leaders head to Google DeepMind

Summary: CEO Varun Mohan and co-founder Douglas Chen are heading to Google DeepMind to focus on agentic coding efforts within the Gemini AI project., Description: As reported by Bloomberg and others, OpenAI's planned $3 billion acquisition of AI coding startup Windsurf has collapsed, with the exclusivity period for the deal having expired and key leadership—including CEO Varun Mohan and co-founder Douglas Chen—now joining Google DeepMind to focus on agentic coding efforts.

Air India crash probe finds both engines cut off after takeoff

Summary: Black box recordings captured pilots' confusion as fuel switches were moved to cutoff position, killing 260 people in June disaster., Description: A preliminary investigation into the Air India Flight 171 crash has revealed that both engine fuel control switches were moved to the "cutoff" position shortly after takeoff, according to findings released by India's Aircraft Accident Investigation Bureau. The discovery shifts focus to cockpit procedures in the June 12 disaster that killed 260 people when the Boeing 787 Dreamliner crashed into a...

Judge's ruling blocks LAPD from targeting journalists during protests

Summary: Federal ruling prohibits police from using rubber bullets and tear gas against reporters after 35 documented incidents of alleged targeting., Description: A federal judge has issued a temporary restraining order prohibiting the Los Angeles Police Department from using rubber bullets and other less-lethal munitions against journalists covering protests, following a lawsuit by the Los Angeles Press Club and Status Coup that documented at least 35 incidents where reporters were allegedly targeted despite being clearly identifiable as members of the...

Nvidia CEO meets Trump amid China trip concerns

Summary: Bipartisan senators warn Jensen Huang against legitimizing Chinese military-linked companies during his upcoming Beijing visit., Description: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang met with President Donald Trump at the White House on Thursday, just one day before a bipartisan pair of senators warned the chip executive about his upcoming trip to China. The meeting occurred as Nvidia became the first company to close a trading day with a market capitalization above $4 trillion. Senators Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and Jim Banks (R-Ind.) sent a letter...

AI News

OpenAI delays the release of its open model, again

Summary:

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said Friday the company is delaying the release of its open model indefinitely.

Windsurf’s CEO goes to Google; OpenAI’s acquisition falls apart

Summary:

Notably, Google is not taking a stake in Windsurf and will not have any control over the company.

AI coding tools may not speed up every developer, study shows

Summary:

Software engineer workflows have been transformed in recent years by an influx of AI coding tools. However, a new study calls into question the extent to which today’s AI coding tools enhance productivity for experienced developers.

Hugging Face’s new robot is the Seinfeld of AI devices

Summary:

Hugging Face’s new programmable Reachy Mini bots launched this week. The AI robots are open source, Raspberry Pi-powered, and come with cartoonish antennae and big googly eyes. They don’t do much out of the box. And that’s kind of the point. Today, on TechCrunch’s Equity podcast, hosts Kirsten Korosec, Max Zeff, and Anthony Ha dig […]

Sarah Smith launches $16M fund, says AI can ‘unlock’ so much for solo GPs like herself

Summary:

She appreciates how she can make fast decisions that don’t require committee approval. She’s also taken to using AI to help her throughout this journey. 

Funding & Startup News: India

InPrime Finserv raises $6M in Series A1 round led by Pravega Ventures

InPrime Finserv is a Bengaluru-based non-banking financial company (NBFC) focused on India’s emerging middle class. It has served more than 7,500 households to date, disbursing nearly Rs 100 crore in loans.

Credit Wise Capital raises Rs 200 Cr in funding round led by Trident Growth Partners

The capital will be used to fuel expansion across two-wheeler financing, secured loans, and tech-driven credit enablement in Tier II to IV cities in India.

Arteria secures Rs 100 Cr in Series B from ICICI Venture to expand supply chain SaaS platform

Founded in 2010, Arteria offers digital solutions for managing upstream and downstream enterprise supply chains, with embedded financing options aimed at improving capital flow for suppliers and distributors.

Jumbotail turns unicorn after raising $120M in Series D round; completes acquisition of Solv

With fresh capital and a broader portfolio, the Bengaluru-based firm aims to scale its commerce and credit stack for India’s small retailers.

Varthana Finance raises Rs 159 Cr debt from impact-focused global investors

Varthana Finance provides loans and academic support to small, affordable private schools that primarily serve students from low-income households.

India Market Highlights

Bank Strike Halts ₹15,000 Cr Transactions in Gujarat

Bank strike in Gujarat disrupts operations in 3,678 branches, halting Rs 15,000 crore transactions. Over 20,000 employees from nationalized and select private banks joined the nationwide protest. Source: The Times of India

Adani Enterprises Closes Debenture Issue Early

Adani Enterprises announces early closure of its debenture issuance. Source: MarketScreener India

IDBI Bank Sale in Oct; SBI, LIC Plan Fundraise

IDBI Bank's disinvestment is set for October with financial bids expected soon. PSBs like SBI, Punjab & Sind Bank, IOB to raise funds via QIP/OFS; LIC's OFS approved. Source: Zee Business

DLF, Lodha Q1FY26 Pre-Sales Grow YoY Despite Demand Dip

DLF and Lodha may report YoY pre-sales growth in Q1FY26. Growth persists despite demand moderation in key Indian cities. Source: Business Standard

RailTel Bags ₹17.47 Cr Deal; July Orders Hit ₹130.3 Cr

RailTel wins Rs 17.47 crore contract, total July orders at Rs 130.3 crore. LIC OFS approved; 1% stake sale may raise Rs 6,000 crore in FY26 disinvestment. Source: CNBC TV18

Global Economic Indicators

Agricultural Commodities Updates: Orange Juice Surges by 9.48%

Country: Commodity, Description: Top commodity gainers are Orange Juice (9.48%) and Rubber (2.21%). Biggest losers are Oat (-9.09%), Cocoa (-8.60%) and Canola (-3.16%).

Metals Commodities Updates: Platinum Gains by 4.11%

Country: Commodity, Description: Top commodity gainers are Platinum (4.11%), Silver (3.65%) and Gold (0.92%). Biggest losers are Copper (-0.94%) and Steel Rebar (-0.61%).

Energy Commodities Updates: Heating Oil Rises by 3.46%

Country: Commodity, Description: Top commodity gainers are Heating Oil (3.46%), Crude Oil WTI (3.27%) and Brent Crude Oil (2.99%). Biggest losers are Methanol (-1.41%).

FX Updates: Japanese Yen Drops by 0.77%

Country: Currency, Description: Top currency losers are Japanese Yen (-0.77%), British Pound (-0.68%), New Zealand Dollar (-0.61%) and Euro (-0.11%). Gains are led by Dollar Index (0.22%).

Oil Climbs Amid Market, Tariff, Sanction Concerns

Country: Commodity, Description: WTI crude oil futures rose 2.8% to settle at $68.40 per barrel on Friday, rebounding from a 2.5% drop in the previous session and logging a 0.6% weekly gain, as traders weighed near-term supply tightness against longer-term surplus concerns. Despite the IEA forecasting a potential surplus later this year, strong summer travel demand and high refinery runs are supporting current prices. Russia’s pledge to offset overproduction and expectations of record Saudi crude shipments to China in August added to short-term bullish sentiment. However, the IEA’s upward revision to supply growth and lowered demand projections point to a softer balance later in the year. Longer-term demand uncertainty was echoed by OPEC, which cut its global oil demand outlook for 2026–2029 due to slower Chinese growth. Meanwhile, geopolitical risks remain in focus, with markets bracing for potential new US sanctions on Russia amid growing tensions over Ukraine.